Diagnostic summary: 2020-06-03-ctp-allstates

Alabama

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Alaska

There were 6 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Arizona

There were 1 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Arkansas

There were 150 transitions after warmup that exceeded the maximum treedepth. Increase max_treedepth above 12. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#maximum-treedepth-exceeded
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

California

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Colorado

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Connecticut

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Delaware

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

District of Columbia

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Florida

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Georgia

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Hawaii

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Idaho

There were 1 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Illinois

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Indiana

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Iowa

There were 150 transitions after warmup that exceeded the maximum treedepth. Increase max_treedepth above 12. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#maximum-treedepth-exceeded
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Kansas

There were 9 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Kentucky

There were 1 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Louisiana

There were 1 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Maine

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Maryland

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Massachusetts

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Michigan

There were 11 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Minnesota

There were 1 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Mississippi

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Missouri

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Montana

There were 1 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Nebraska

There were 24 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Nevada

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

New Hampshire

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

New Jersey

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

New Mexico

There were 150 transitions after warmup that exceeded the maximum treedepth. Increase max_treedepth above 12. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#maximum-treedepth-exceeded
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

New York

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

North Carolina

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

North Dakota

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Ohio

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Oklahoma

There were 4 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
There were 150 transitions after warmup that exceeded the maximum treedepth. Increase max_treedepth above 12. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#maximum-treedepth-exceeded
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Oregon

There were 1 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Pennsylvania

There were 150 transitions after warmup that exceeded the maximum treedepth. Increase max_treedepth above 12. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#maximum-treedepth-exceeded
There were 1 chains where the estimated Bayesian Fraction of Missing Information was low. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bfmi-low
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Rhode Island

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

South Carolina

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

South Dakota

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Tennessee

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Texas

There were 1 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Utah

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Vermont

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Virginia

There were 150 transitions after warmup that exceeded the maximum treedepth. Increase max_treedepth above 12. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#maximum-treedepth-exceeded
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Washington

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

West Virginia

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Wisconsin

There were 1 divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta above 0.92 may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess

Wyoming

The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable. Running the chains for more iterations may help. See http://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-ess